S&P 500 Return History: The $1,000 Time Machine

Josh · Last updated:

Last verified: July 12, 2026 against Damodaran/NYU Stern historical return dataset (histretSP), 1928-2025 annual total returns

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Every calendar-year total return of the S&P 500 since 1928, and an interactive answer to the question everyone actually asks: what would my money have become?

Source: Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern, Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills. Returns include reinvested dividends.

Pick a year. Invest once.

A lump sum on January 1, held through 2025

19282025
$

Worth at the end of 2025

$0

CAGR

-

Best yr held

-

Worst yr held

-

Growth path (log scale)

Drag the year slider and watch the starting point change everything. Figures use calendar-year total returns; fund fees and taxes are not subtracted.

10.0%
Long-run CAGR
Compound annual growth 1928-2025, dividends reinvested. $1,000 in 1928 became $11.6M.
72 of 98
Years positive
73% of calendar years gained. The longest winning streak ran 9 straight years, ending in 1999.
-43.8% / +52.6%
The full range
Worst year 1931, best year 1954 - and they sit just 23 years apart.

Every year since 1928, in one strip

Green above the line, red below. The eye finds the story fast: losses cluster (1929-32, 1973-74, 2000-02), and the recoveries that follow are usually violent.

-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 1928: +43.81% 1929: -8.30% 1930: -25.12% 1931: -43.84% 1932: -8.64% 1933: +49.98% 1934: -1.19% 1935: +46.74% 1936: +31.94% 1937: -35.34% 1938: +29.28% 1939: -1.10% 1940: -10.67% 1941: -12.77% 1942: +19.17% 1943: +25.06% 1944: +19.03% 1945: +35.82% 1946: -8.43% 1947: +5.20% 1948: +5.70% 1949: +18.30% 1950: +30.81% 1951: +23.68% 1952: +18.15% 1953: -1.21% 1954: +52.56% 1955: +32.60% 1956: +7.44% 1957: -10.46% 1958: +43.72% 1959: +12.06% 1960: +0.34% 1961: +26.64% 1962: -8.81% 1963: +22.61% 1964: +16.42% 1965: +12.40% 1966: -9.97% 1967: +23.80% 1968: +10.81% 1969: -8.24% 1970: +3.56% 1971: +14.22% 1972: +18.76% 1973: -14.31% 1974: -25.90% 1975: +37.00% 1976: +23.83% 1977: -6.98% 1978: +6.51% 1979: +18.52% 1980: +31.74% 1981: -4.70% 1982: +20.42% 1983: +22.34% 1984: +6.15% 1985: +31.24% 1986: +18.49% 1987: +5.81% 1988: +16.54% 1989: +31.48% 1990: -3.06% 1991: +30.23% 1992: +7.49% 1993: +9.97% 1994: +1.33% 1995: +37.20% 1996: +22.68% 1997: +33.10% 1998: +28.34% 1999: +20.89% 2000: -9.03% 2001: -11.85% 2002: -21.97% 2003: +28.36% 2004: +10.74% 2005: +4.83% 2006: +15.61% 2007: +5.48% 2008: -36.55% 2009: +25.94% 2010: +14.82% 2011: +2.10% 2012: +15.89% 2013: +32.15% 2014: +13.52% 2015: +1.38% 2016: +11.77% 2017: +21.61% 2018: -4.23% 2019: +31.21% 2020: +18.02% 2021: +28.47% 2022: -18.04% 2023: +26.06% 2024: +24.88% 2025: +17.78% 1930194019501960197019801990200020102020
Hover any bar for the exact figure. Only four years lost more than 25%; three of them came before 1940. Download this chart (light · dark) - PennyCalc chart artwork is reusable under CC BY 4.0 with attribution; source-data terms still apply. Licensing details.

The crashes, and what came after

The long-run average hides the ride. These are the eight moments that shaped the strip above, with the exact calendar-year figures.

1929

The 1929 crash begins a four-year, -86% peak-to-trough slide. The 1931 return of -43.8% is still the worst calendar year on record.

1954

Best calendar year on record: +52.6%. The index finally regains its 1929 high a quarter century after the crash.

1974

The 1973-74 oil-shock bear takes back-to-back years of -14.3% and -25.9%. The 1975-76 rebound returns +37.0% and +23.8%.

1987

Black Monday drops the index 20.5% in one session, yet 1987 still closes positive at +5.8%.

2002

The dot-com unwind strings together three losing years (2000-2002), the only three-year losing streak since the Depression.

2008

The financial crisis produces -36.6%, the worst year since 1937. 2009 opens the recovery at +25.9%.

2020

A -34% crash in five weeks, then the fastest recovery on record: the year still closes at +18.0%.

2022

Rate-hike repricing takes -18.0%; 2023-24 answer with +26.1% and +24.9%.

Things you might not know

  • Missing the best years is fatal to the average. Strip out just the five best years since 1928 (1933, 1935, 1954, 1958, 1928) and the long-run CAGR drops by more than a full percentage point. The best years tend to sit immediately next to the worst ones, which is why timing exits rarely works.
  • 1987's crash year finished green. Black Monday took 20.5% in a single session, but the calendar year still closed at +5.8%. Annual data smooths drama that daily headlines magnify.
  • The lost decade was real. $1,000 invested at the start of 2000 was worth less in March 2009 than nine years earlier. Even held all the way to the end of 2025, it grew to only about $7,400 - a CAGR under 8% and far below what a 1980 or 1990 start delivered.
  • Back-to-back 25% years are rare - and recent. 2023 (+26.1%) and 2024 (+24.9%) marked the first consecutive 24%+ years since 1998-1999. The last time that happened, the following three years were all negative.
  • Three of every four years are up. 72 of 98 calendar years were positive. An investor who checked their balance once a year experienced losses far less often than one who checked daily.
Year-by-year table: every return, 1928-2025
Year Total return $1,000 from 1928 grows to
1928 +43.81% $1,438
1929 -8.30% $1,319
1930 -25.12% $987
1931 -43.84% $555
1932 -8.64% $507
1933 +49.98% $760
1934 -1.19% $751
1935 +46.74% $1,102
1936 +31.94% $1,454
1937 -35.34% $940
1938 +29.28% $1,215
1939 -1.10% $1,202
1940 -10.67% $1,074
1941 -12.77% $936
1942 +19.17% $1,116
1943 +25.06% $1,396
1944 +19.03% $1,661
1945 +35.82% $2,256
1946 -8.43% $2,066
1947 +5.20% $2,174
1948 +5.70% $2,297
1949 +18.30% $2,718
1950 +30.81% $3,555
1951 +23.68% $4,397
1952 +18.15% $5,195
1953 -1.21% $5,132
1954 +52.56% $7,830
1955 +32.60% $10,382
1956 +7.44% $11,155
1957 -10.46% $9,988
1958 +43.72% $14,355
1959 +12.06% $16,086
1960 +0.34% $16,141
1961 +26.64% $20,441
1962 -8.81% $18,640
1963 +22.61% $22,854
1964 +16.42% $26,607
1965 +12.40% $29,906
1966 -9.97% $26,925
1967 +23.80% $33,333
1968 +10.81% $36,936
1969 -8.24% $33,892
1970 +3.56% $35,099
1971 +14.22% $40,090
1972 +18.76% $47,611
1973 -14.31% $40,798
1974 -25.90% $30,231
1975 +37.00% $41,417
1976 +23.83% $51,286
1977 -6.98% $47,706
1978 +6.51% $50,812
1979 +18.52% $60,223
1980 +31.74% $79,337
1981 -4.70% $75,608
1982 +20.42% $91,048
1983 +22.34% $111,388
1984 +6.15% $118,238
1985 +31.24% $155,176
1986 +18.49% $183,868
1987 +5.81% $194,550
1988 +16.54% $226,729
1989 +31.48% $298,103
1990 -3.06% $288,981
1991 +30.23% $376,340
1992 +7.49% $404,528
1993 +9.97% $444,859
1994 +1.33% $450,776
1995 +37.20% $618,465
1996 +22.68% $758,733
1997 +33.10% $1,009,873
1998 +28.34% $1,296,071
1999 +20.89% $1,566,820
2000 -9.03% $1,425,337
2001 -11.85% $1,256,434
2002 -21.97% $980,396
2003 +28.36% $1,258,436
2004 +10.74% $1,393,592
2005 +4.83% $1,460,902
2006 +15.61% $1,688,949
2007 +5.48% $1,781,504
2008 -36.55% $1,130,364
2009 +25.94% $1,423,580
2010 +14.82% $1,634,555
2011 +2.10% $1,668,881
2012 +15.89% $1,934,066
2013 +32.15% $2,555,868
2014 +13.52% $2,901,421
2015 +1.38% $2,941,461
2016 +11.77% $3,287,671
2017 +21.61% $3,998,137
2018 -4.23% $3,829,015
2019 +31.21% $5,024,051
2020 +18.02% $5,929,385
2021 +28.47% $7,617,481
2022 -18.04% $6,243,288
2023 +26.06% $7,870,288
2024 +24.88% $9,828,416
2025 +17.78% $11,575,908

Source: Damodaran/NYU Stern. Total returns include reinvested dividends; fees and taxes not subtracted.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average annual return of the S&P 500?
From 1928 through 2025 the S&P 500's compound annual growth rate is 10.0% with dividends reinvested (Damodaran/NYU data). The arithmetic average of yearly returns is higher, around 12%, but CAGR is the number that describes what an investor actually compounded at. After inflation, the long-run real return is roughly 6.5-7%.
Does this data include dividends?
Yes. The series is total return: price change plus dividends reinvested. Dividends matter more than most people expect - roughly a third of the long-run total return comes from reinvested dividends. Price-only charts of the S&P 500 understate a real investor's outcome by that amount.
How often does the S&P 500 lose money in a year?
26 of the 98 calendar years since 1928 were negative - about one year in four. Most losses are moderate; only four years lost more than 25% (1930, 1931, 1937, and 1974), and 2008's -36.6% is the only member of that club since World War II.
What was the worst period to start investing?
Starting at the 1929 peak meant waiting roughly 25 years for the index to durably regain its high, though an investor reinvesting dividends recovered much sooner. The worst modern start was 2000: $1,000 invested at the start of 2000 was still underwater in 2009, and reached only about $7,400 by the end of 2025 - a 8.0% CAGR, well below the long-run average. Starting points matter; the time machine above lets you test any of them.
Can I invest in the S&P 500 directly?
Not in the index itself, but index funds and ETFs that track it charge as little as 0.02-0.03% per year and replicate its return almost exactly. The figures on this page do not subtract fund fees or taxes; a low-cost index fund's investor would have earned a few hundredths of a percent less per year.
This page is for educational purposes. Past returns do not predict future returns. Consult a financial professional for advice specific to your situation.

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